I am reminded of the movie, A Christmas Story when looking at the chances of Boise State being involved in this season’s BCS Championship. You know the story, Ralphie wants a Red Ryder carbine-action 200-shot range model air rifle for Christmas, but everyone says “no, you’ll shoot your eye out kid.” Now
this isn’t a post about a movie from the past, but rather A Boise State Story. As I watched an ESPN commercial today at lunch promoting this Saturday’s Michigan State vs. Penn State game my mind began to play out a scenario in which the Boise State Broncos could face the Alabama Crimson Tide in the National Championship. So here is my one in a million scenario that would have Boise State hurdling 7 spots, going from #9 to #2 in the BCS.
Mountain West/Western Athletic:
The absolute in the scenario is the Utah Utes would need to loose to BYU this Saturday and of course the Broncos would have to win out. If these things fail to happen then goodbye BCS Championship hopes. A loss by Utah and Boise State overcomes its first hurdle.
Big East/ACC:
Simply put there is not enough time for these conferences to move close enough to the top ten let alone number 1 or 2 in the BCS. The remaining games played by these teams are insignificant in deciding a National Champion. No hurdles to jump hear, just putting all my ducks in a row.
Big Ten:
With a win by Michigan State over Penn State, Boise State hurdles yet another team. Ohio State winning the Big Ten, though important may not be enough to pass an undefeated Boise State. Also OSU needs to get by Michigan.
PAC Ten:
Oregon State has two games left and I think it is a toss up for them to win both games or lose both. Regardless of that outcome, Oregon State has even less of a chance of passing BSU and jumping to #2 than BSU has of becoming #2. USC would need to drop either the Notre Dame or UCLA game. Resulting losses by Oregon State and USC could allow another hurdle.
SEC:
In Alabama vs. Florida for the SEC Championship, Alabama would need to come out on top giving Florida its second loss. I think a big win by Alabama would be needed as a 1 to 3 point loss would do little to decrease Florida’s ranking. This is the 4th and third most difficult hurdle for Boise State.
Big Twelve:
This could prove to be the Broncos downfall. The way this needs to play out is for Texas Tech to beat Oklahoma this week and win out. An Oklahoma loss, allows for BSU to hurdle its 5th team. Texas Tech would need to win out and loose in the Big Twelve Title game a Missouri Tiger team. Hurdle number 6. That leaves the last hurdle which would require a Texas Longhorns loss to either Arkansas or Texas A&M and become the 7th and final hurdle that lands Boise State at number 2 in the BCS and taking on the Alabama Crimson Tide in the national championship game.
To be realistic, the odds of all of these things panning out for Boise State are an extreme long shot. Not to mention the human pollsters may not vote Boise State anywhere close enough to #2 to make it a reality. However, I like to dream as Ralphie did because after all Ralphie beat up the bully (BCS) and got the BB gun in the end (Championship). Now wasn’t that fun? Go Broncos!!















Thu, Nov 20, 2008
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